Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
PRELIMINARY NOTE REGARDING FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
ALL FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS CONTAINED HEREIN ARE DEEMED BY THE COMPANY TO BE COVERED BY AND TO QUALIFY FOR THE SAFE HARBOR PROTECTION PROVIDED BY THE PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995. PROSPECTIVE SHAREHOLDERS SHOULD UNDERSTAND THAT SEVERAL FACTORS GOVERN WHETHER ANY FORWARD - LOOKING STATEMENT CONTAINED HEREIN WILL BE OR CAN BE ACHIEVED. ANY ONE OF THOSE FACTORS COULD CAUSE ACTUAL RESULTS TO DIFFER MATERIALLY FROM THOSE PROJECTED HEREIN. THESE FORWARD - LOOKING STATEMENTS INCLUDE PLANS AND OBJECTIVES OF MANAGEMENT FOR FUTURE OPERATIONS, INCLUDING PLANS AND OBJECTIVES RELATING TO THE PRODUCTS AND THE FUTURE ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE OF THE COMPANY. ASSUMPTIONS RELATING TO THE FOREGOING INVOLVE JUDGMENTS WITH RESPECT TO, AMONG OTHER THINGS, FUTURE ECONOMIC, COMPETITIVE AND MARKET CONDITIONS, FUTURE BUSINESS DECISIONS, AND THE TIME AND MONEY REQUIRED TO SUCCESSFULLY COMPLETE DEVELOPMENT PROJECTS, ALL OF WHICH ARE DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE TO PREDICT ACCURATELY AND MANY OF WHICH ARE BEYOND THE CONTROL OF THE COMPANY. ALTHOUGH THE COMPANY BELIEVES THAT THE ASSUMPTIONS UNDERLYING THE FORWARD - LOOKING STATEMENTS CONTAINED HEREIN ARE REASONABLE, ANY OF THOSE ASSUMPTIONS COULD PROVE INACCURATE AND, THEREFORE, THERE CAN BE NO ASSURANCE THAT THE RESULTS CONTEMPLATED IN ANY OF THE FORWARD - LOOKING STATEMENTS CONTAINED HEREIN WILL BE REALIZED. BASED ON ACTUAL EXPERIENCE AND BUSINESS DEVELOPMENT, THE COMPANY MAY ALTER ITS MARKETING, CAPITAL EXPENDITURE PLANS OR OTHER BUDGETS, WHICH MAY IN TURN AFFECT THE COMPANY'S RESULTS OF OPERATIONS. IN LIGHT OF THE SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTIES INHERENT IN THE FORWARD - LOOKING STATEMENTS INCLUDED THEREIN, THE INCLUSION OF ANY SUCH STATEMENT SHOULD NOT BE REGARDED AS A REPRESENTATION BY THE COMPANY OR ANY OTHER PERSON THAT THE OBJECTIVES OR PLANS OF THE COMPANY WILL BE ACHIEVED.
MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF PLAN OF OPERATION
The information contained in this section has been derived from our financial statements and should be read together with our consolidated financial statements and related notes included elsewhere in this annual report. The discussion contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Our actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied in these forward-looking statements as a result of various factors, including those set forth at the end of this section under "Factors That May Impact Our Results of Operations".
OVERVIEW
Joystar, Inc. sells complex leisure travel products through our virtual network of travel agents, company branded and private label websites. We empower travel entrepreneurs and leisure travelers with the tools and information they need to efficiently research, plan, and book travel. The effect of having such a massive and growing network of independent and home-based travel retailers all booking under the Joystar Agency umbrella is significantly increasing our sales and revenue, and building strong brand recognition.
We refer to Joystar, Inc. and its brands collectively as "Joystar," the "Company," "us," "we" and "our" in this management's discussion and analysis of financial condition and results of operations.
Tens of thousands of travel agents who are closing their storefront agencies and moving to a home-based operation are creating a value migration in the rapidly emerging host travel agency model. Because of our strong value proposition, we have been very successful in attracting profession travel agents and at the same time, eroding our competitors' market share. Since going to market with our hosting programs in August 2004, Joystar has signed up over 4,000 travel agents making it one of the fastest growing and largest leisure travel network in the industry.
Throughout 2006, Joystar's commission levels with our preferred suppliers increased substantially. With the acquisition of the Miami Cruise Center, the enhanced commission levels that Joystar offers travel agents are some of the highest in the industry.
TRENDS
The travel industry and particularly the travel agency business model, has experienced significant change in this decade. The advent of the Internet and online travel agencies has forever changed the way travel products are distributed. Travel agents were forced to retool their business models which included the elimination of high costs associated with operating a store fronts and identifying markets where their knowledge and service would ensure they remained relevant in the eyes of travelers.
Today, similar to the way real estate agents, mortgage bankers, stock brokers and insurance agents have been able to effectively telecommute, tens of thousands of experienced travel sellers operate their businesses virtually. According to a recent report issued by Credit Suisse/First Boston, there are currently 25,000 professional, home-based agents. This number is expected to grow to approximately 50,000 agents by 2010.
In the United States, telecommuting has been growing at 15% a year since 1990. It is believed that approximately 80% of Fortune 1000 companies are likely to employ telecommuters within this decade.
Factors that will continue to affect the future of telecommuting worldwide include the availability of bandwidth and fast Internet connections in a given country; social methodologies for balancing work control and work freedom; the perceived values and economies in telecommuting; and the opportunities and need for working collaboratively across large distances, including globally.
According to the Direct Sales Association, the number of Americans operating a home-based business has grown from 8.5 million in 1996 to 14.1 million in 2005.
The baby-boomer population is estimated at over 70 million domestically and 450 million worldwide. This group is expected to spend both their discretionary time and income on travel related products and services.
STRATEGY
We intend to aggressively innovate on behalf of travel agents including building a scalable, service -oriented technology platform which will extend across our consumer brands. We expect this to increase the income opportunity+ for our travel network as we will be providing them consumer leads and also drive profitability for the company as we will create travel bookings at a lower commission payout than our existing host travel agent programs.
We also intend to continue innovating on behalf of our preferred supplier partners. As an example, we launched Starbase, a customer relationship management system for our agents to better manage their businesses. Starbase streamlines the interaction and booking process between our agents, customers and suppliers. Through this "direct connect" technology, our agents can complete the booking process with some of our cruise lines and vacation suppliers easier and in a more cost effective for our suppliers. It also automatically notifies Joystar's internal accounting of bookings and cancellations and provides agents with real time commission tracking. In the absence of this direct connect technology, these processes are completed manually via a proprietary extranet.
Currently, cruise vacations represent over two-thirds of our travel products sold. Although we expect continued significant increase in our cruise business, our goal is to grow our land-based vacation packages and tours to represent 75% of total gross bookings.
Our preferred supplier development team is negotiating with major vacation suppliers to increase our commissions to the levels we have attained with our major cruise suppliers. We believe this will attract high producing vacation agents to our network and drive sales and product mix.
SEASONALITY
We generally experience seasonal fluctuations in the demand for our travel products and services. For example, leisure travel bookings are generally the highest in the first quarter and gradually decline over the subsequent three quarters. The first quarter is highest due to wave season, when an estimated 70% of the yearly cruise line inventory is booked. There is a gradual drop off in the second and third quarters as travelers plan and book their spring, summer and winter vacations. In the fourth quarter, the number of leisure bookings decreases significantly. We have been able to offset the quarterly decline in bookings and revenue typical to the industry through the aggressive growth of our travel agent network.
CRITICAL ACCOUNTING POLICIES AND ESTIMATES
To understand our financial position and results of operations, it is important to understand our critical accounting policies and estimates and the extent to which we use judgment and estimates in applying those policies. We prepared our financial statements and accompanying notes in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles in the United States. Preparation of the financial statements and accompanying notes requires that we make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities and the disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities as of the date of the financial statements and revenue and expenses during the periods reported. We base our estimates on historical experience, where applicable and other assumption that we believe are reasonable under the circumstances. Actual results may differ from our estimates under different assumptions or conditions.
There are certain critical estimates that we believe require significant judgment in the preparation of our financial statements. We consider an accounting estimate to be critical if:
o It requires us to make assumption because information was not available at the time or it included matters that were highly uncertain at the time we were making the estimate, and
o Changes in the estimate or different estimates that we could have selected may have had a material impact on our financial condition or results of operations.
For more information on each of these policies, see Note 2 -- Significant Accounting Policies, in the notes to financial statements. We discuss information about the nature and rationale for our critical accounting estimates below.
STOCK-BASED COMPENSATION
We record stock-based compensation expense net of estimated forfeitures. In determining the estimated forfeiture rates for stock-based awards, we periodically conduct an assessment of the actual number of equity awards that have been forfeited to date as well as those expected to be forfeited in the future. We consider many factors when estimating expected forfeitures, including the type of award, the employee class and historical experience. The estimate of stock awards that will ultimately be forfeited requires significant judgment and to the extent that actual results or updated estimates differ from our current estimates, such amounts will be recorded as a cumulative adjustment in the period such estimates are revised.
NEW ACCOUNTING PRONOUNCEMENTS
For a discussion of new accounting pronouncements, see Note 2 -- Significant Accounting Policies, in the notes to financial statements.
OPERATING METRICS
Gross bookings represent the total retail value of transactions booked for both agency and merchant transactions, recorded at the time of booking reflecting the total price due for travel, including taxes, fees and other charges, and are generally not reduced for cancellations and refunds.
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
Please refer to the financial statements, which are a part of this report, for further information regarding the results of operations of the Company.
THREE MONTHS ENDED MARCH 31, 2007 COMPARED TO THE THREE MONTHS ENDED MARCH 31,
2006
GROSS TRAVEL BOOKINGS
Gross travel bookings for the three months ended March 31, 2007 increased to $24,216,139 compared to $18,036,630 for the three months ended March 31, 2006. Gross travel bookings refers to the total dollar value, inclusive of all taxes and fees, of all travel services purchased by consumers. The term "gross travel bookings" is a "non-GAAP financial measure, as such term is defined by the Securities and Exchange Commission, and may differ from non-GAAP financial measures used by other companies. The measure of "gross travel bookings" is in no way derived from the financial statements. Revenue recorded in the Company's financial statements represents a percentage of commissions or ticketing fees paid by travel suppliers on travel bookings, membership services revenue and override commissions from travel suppliers. The Company believes that the measure "gross travel bookings" is useful for investors to evaluate the Company's future ongoing performance because they enable a more meaningful comparison of the activity levels of the Company's travel agent network with its historical results from prior periods.
REVENUE
Revenues for the three months ended March 31, 2007 increased to $2,472,733 compared to $2,182,672 for the three months ended March 31, 2006.
The increase in both gross travel bookings and revenues are due to continued substantial growth of our travel agent network and higher preferred supplier commission levels. Offsetting these increases was the fact that the company took a reserve against revenues of 15% in the three months ended March 31, 2007 while no reserve was taken in the three months ended March 31, 2006. See the discussion of reserves in Note 2 to the Financial Statements.
SELLING AND MARKETING
Selling and marketing expenses relate to direct advertising and distribution expense, including traffic generation from Internet, search engines, private label and affiliate programs. The remainder of the expense relates to personnel costs, including staffing in our Agent Support Services and Preferred Supplier Relations to enhance supplier commission levels.
Marketing and sales expenses for the three months ended March 31, 2007 were $2,203,781 compared to $1,480,238 for the three months ended March 31, 2006. The increase of $723,543 was primarily due to the increased payments to our travel agents as a result of their increased sales levels. Selling and marketing expenses relate to travel agent commissions, direct advertising and distribution expense, including traffic generation from Internet, search engines, private label and affiliate programs.
GENERAL AND ADMINISTRATIVE
General and Administrative expenses for the three months ended March 31, 2007 decreased to $682,485 from $1,128,422 for three months ended March 31, 2006. The decrease was primarily due to reductions in compensation, professional fees, telephone and travel expenses. We expect absolute amounts spent on corporate personnel and professional service to increase over time as we develop new business units requiring additional headcount and continue incurring incremental costs associated with being a public company.
TECHNOLOGY AND CONTENT
Technology and content expense includes product development expenses such as payroll and related expenses and depreciation of technology infrastructure, travel agent intranets, travel agent website, and consumer and social networking site development costs. In 2006, moved our software development to an India-based operation with our own employees. We employ web developers and designers in Kuala Lumpur, Pakistan, India and Spain. We also began outsourcing the development of certain large scale projects to China including the development of our consumer travel comparison marketplace, VacationCompare.com and our group travel social networking site, Travelstar.com.
Technology and content expenses for the three months ended March 31, 2007 were $24,815. Given the increasing complexity of our business, geographic expansion, increased supplier integration, service-oriented architecture improvements and other initiatives, we expect absolute amounts spent in technology and content to increase over time. The Company recently hired a Chief Technology Officer.
ACCRUED LIABILITY RELATED TO WARRANTS AND STOCK PURCHASE RIGHTS
The Company accounts for freestanding derivative financial instruments potentially settled in its own common stock under Emerging Issues Task Force ("EITF") Issue No. 00-19, "Accounting for Derivative Financial Instruments Indexed to, and Potentially Settled in, a Company's Own Stock." As the Company potentially does not have sufficient authorized shares available to settle its open stock-based contracts, the initial fair value of the applicable contracts (consisting primarily of non-employee stock warrants and rights to purchase common stock) (see Note 5) has been classified as "accrued liability related to warrants and stock purchase rights" on the accompanying balance sheet and measured subsequently at fair value (based on a Black-Scholes computation), with gains and losses included in the statement of operations. The accrued liability has a balance of $6,387,587 as of March 31, 2007.
Net other income for the three months ended March 31, 2007 was $1,422,606 Compared to an expense of $(940,502) in the three months ended March 31, 2006. This change was primarily due a reduction in the Accrued Liability Related to Warrants and Stock Purchase Rights.
The Company left development stage as of January 1, 2005 when it started to make substantially more sales.
LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES
The Company's cash balance increased to $2,515,208 at March 31, 2007 as compared to $2,102,861 at December 31, 2006. The Company has recovered cash from trade accounts receivable. During the three months ended March 31, 207 the Company issued $86,969 in shares for services
PROFITABILITY/LOSS
Net income for the three months ended March 31, 2007 was $1,017,540 compared to a net loss of $1,423,575 for the three months ended March 31, 2006.
The increase in net income was due to a reduction in the provision of the accrued liability of related to warrants and stock purchase rights. The Company's operating loss for the three months ended March 31, 2007 was $438,348 compared to an operating loss of $480,379 for the three months ended March 31, 2006.
Our business continues to be dominated by complex leisure travel. Commission revenue for these types of bookings is paid to the company by travel suppliers, typically upon completion of the travel. Because the average time lag between booking travel and receiving the commission is approximately six months, we determined it prudent to recognize a reserve against revenues for the possibility of cancellations or other factors. Therefore, we recognized a reserve equal to 15% of the gross commissions generated for the three months ended March 31, 2007. The company will be monitoring receivables and adjusting the reserve levels on a regular basis, as required.